Maths Essentials, Unit 28, Lesson 5 of 5

Conditional probability

GCSE Maths, Probability, 25 minutes

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Probabilities given that something has happened, from Venn diagrams, two-way tables and tree diagrams.

What you will learn

  • Work out a probability given that another event has happened
  • Use P(A
  • B) = P(A and B) ÷ P(B)
  • Solve problems where the second pick depends on the first

Given that

"Given that" shrinks the group you choose from.

From a Venn diagram or table, the denominator is the number in the given group, not the grand total. P(A | B) means the probability of A, given B: the event before the line is the one you want, the one after it is what you already know. So P(B | A) is the probability of B when A has happened. In a two-way table, "given that the person is an adult" means use only the adults row: 5 of 40 adults chose comedy gives 5/40 = 1/8.

  1. In B: 12 + 18 = 30 people. In both A and B: 12
  2. P(A | B) = 12/30 = 2/5

The rest of this lesson and its 7 practice questions are locked.

In this lesson

  1. Given that
  2. From a tree
  3. Without replacement, given the first pick
  4. Try it: First question

7 practice questions, marked as you go; about 25 minutes in all.

In this unit: Probability

Probabilities of single events, relative frequency, sample spaces, Venn diagrams and two-way tables, tree diagrams, and conditional probability.

All of Probability